It aims to protect the freedom and democracy of countries within the alliance. Quote Reply. But the inducements encourage U.S. companies to invest only at homenot elsewhere. And why would China be against it? In Germany and Britain, left-wing organizations brought thousands into the streets to condemn NATO . Answer (1 of 62): I see alot of Americans here with an idea that such a war between NATO and Russia and China would be an easy win. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. To be sure, developing such a strategy will be challenging, but there are a number of ways to begin to square the circle. Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. As an authoritarian state looking to roll-back Western hegemony, are NATO and China in direct competition? It is an alliance of North American and European countries designed to ensure the security of Europe. A war between China and NATO is extremely unlikely. Download the new FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. China's increased aggression against Taiwan and in the South China Sea is another point of hostility. So unused to being challenged, the United States has become so filled with anxiety over China that sober responses are becoming nearly impossible. Only fully democratic counties can be members of NATO. If you simply compare the size of the Chinese armed forces against the combined strength of NATO, it would appear that China would lose a war. This year, the United States will spend $778 billion on defense compared to only $310 billion in Russia and China. NATO is an alliance of European and North American countries. The U.S. Please follow our comment guidelines, stay on topic, and be civil, courteous, and respectful of others beliefs. Moreover, if Russian President Vladimir Putin succeeds in Ukraine, why would he stop there? Additionally, in light of Putins decision to pull out of the bilateral New START treaty intended to limit the nuclear weapons both nations could deploy the U.S. should restart and enhance our nuclear weapons development program. Importantly, there is almost no reason why China would attack NATO. A hypothetical military alliance between China and Russia. 22/23 SLIDES . The military that controls the sky and can achieve air superiority historically as overcome almost any military force. There are several reasons for this: It is almost impossible for China to attack Europe or North America. Geopolitics You can unsubscribe at any time. China had "invested in modern aircraft and weapons to fight us," he noted, and US forces would also face the "tyranny of distance" - most of the US air power used in the war game . Russia vs Nato war: Who will win? Policy-makers in the American seats of power clearly want to prevent even the weak but potentially growing cooperation between Germany with its European allies and Russia or China, which had been . Otherwise, the planet may not survive this time this MAD situation. While President Biden has thus far led an impressively strong and united NATO response to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there are signs that public support for the war is fading, as . He told Deutsche Welle: "In the first part of August, China conducted missile tests, large-scale air and sea exercises, cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, and economic coercion against Taiwan. There are no territorial disputes between China and NATO countries. Speaking at Raisina Dialogue, Russian Foreign Affairs Minister Sergey Lavrov said that the French ambassador to Israel confirmed that there was a commitment not to expand NATO. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow has to take into account NATO's . Reply. Opinion | Global Affairs Explained is an ongoing project aiming to provide concise guides to world events. This site is owned and operated by Duncan Ball. China, as an authoritarian power, can mobilize its population behind a conflict more easily. This would mean China could mobilize more people in a total war against NATO. Douglas Schoen is a longtime Democratic political consultant. The West has its problems, obviously, as does everyone in this pandemic. The world over, countries are embarking on ambitious projects of industrial policy. The Black Sea Grain Initiative, a deal brokered in July among Ukraine, Russia, Turkey and the United Nations, eased Russia's naval blockade and saw three key Ukrainian ports reopen. In order to fully understand any possible conflict between China and NATO, we need to think about how China views NATO. However, China has at times expressed opposition to NATO expansion in Europe. China Nikkei Asia /a > Who would win /a > NATO vs. Russia and China are geared for defense very! Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a frank discussion about the Biden administrations China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider. The following twelve states signed the treaty and became the founding members: Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, United Kingdom and United States. A good strategy, however, starts with clear goals, and Washingtons objectives are to maintain peace and stability in both Europe and Asia. Russia's strategic blunder of invading Ukraine can help focus and reinforce U.S. efforts to narrow the gap in trust with its MENA partners on a number of fronts, including tackling Russian disinformation in the region, building coalitions to pressure Moscow into ending its war, and prosecuting war crimes in Syria. Instead, the anti-democratic alliance between the two countries which is resentful of American hegemony and committed to tearing down the liberal world order that has prevailed for more than eight decades is growing stronger. Although NATO is a larger military force, factors such as population size, geography and differing political systems could be key to determining the outcome of a conflict. and win, a nuclear war with Russia. No countries in Asia are members of NATO. On 5 July the North Atlantic Alliance members signed off on the accession protocols for Sweden and Finland and formally approved the decisions of the NATO summit. It has over one million more soldiers, and another million more reservists. China and the NATO countries have very different political systems. Asked whether NATO has any indication that China might be ready to provide arms or other support to Russias war, Stoltenberg said: We have seen some signs that they may be planning for that and of course NATO allies, the United States, have been warning against it because this is something that should not happen. United States Currently, China focuses on domestic weapon designs and manufacturing, while still importing certain military products from Russia, such as jet engines. From NATO's point of view, Russia has to be made to pay a high price if it invades Ukraine, to deter it from advancing further. China sees Taiwan as one of its own provinces, and has even vowed to use force to bring the island back within its influence. Delivered Wednesday. Californias bullet train almost seems designed to discredit state government NATO is a system of collective security: its independent member states agree to defend each other against attacks by others countries. A good strategy starts with clear goalsand Washingtons objectives are to maintain peace and stability in both Europe and Asia. NATO. Published: March 21, 2022 08:55 Mohammed Almezel, Editor-at-Large. As was the case in World War II, the U.S. Army would bear the brunt of defending Europe, while the Navy would concentrate on the Pacific. Highest value in the world: 816 billion $ (, Highest value in the world: 385,821,101 (. Experts opine that sooner or later US-led alliance will have to face Putins army. On May 7th 1999, four NATO missiles hit the Chinese embassy in Belgrade, killing three Chinese journalists. One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. NATOs aim is to provide collective security to European countries and does not officially take aggressive military action. Russia has a conventional war advantage with more than 22,710 battle tanks. Ok, so although there is definite animosity in China against NATO its clear that China doesnt officially hate the alliance. But as Putin seems hell-bent on escalation, the question now is: Does Nato fight him now or fight him later? The same logic has been shared by the American conservative group the Atlantic Council. The alliance was established to counter the Soviet Union in Europe. Before and during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, several NATO countries sent army to reinforce the alliance's eastern flank. One year into Vladimir Putins invasion of Ukraine, Russia is a pariah to most countries in the free world. You may opt out at any time. Putin has shown a clear interest in resurrecting the former Russian Empire, and other vulnerable Eastern European countriesPoland, Romania, or the Baltic statesmight be next. This unprovoked and brutal attack on Ukraine has unified a fraying NATO alliance. And they've deployed recently upgraded . The U.S. Air Force (USAF) would play a supporting role in . But for how long can the alliance afford to stay on the sidelines? However, it's worth noting that the U.S. alone, which is a member of NATO, has a military budget of $740.5 billion. Beijing and Moscow have invested heavily in their militaries, but only boast around 3,000 and 4,000 total aircraft respectively. Instead of asking how much territory Russia has taken in one year, one should ask in what ways are the US, EU, and NATO weakened since Feb 2022 vs Russia, China, India, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, South Africa, etc. Russia is unlikely to accept the decision and will certainly not refrain from flying over Ukraine an all-out war is sure. SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia's foreign minister said she raised Russia's invasion of Ukraine with her Chinese counterpart, telling reporters after their meeting that all countries want to see China "do the right thing" and not supply weapons to Russia. However, China sees NATO as key to Americas global dominance and therefore a reduction in NATOs influence would be a benefit to China. China, The United States and its formal treaty allies possess nearly 60 percent of global GDP, and together, they can easily marshal the resources to maintain a favorable balance of military power over both China and Russia. Admission of new members to military alliance could create a more dangerous balance of power, experts warn. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg also told The Associated Press in an . When it comes to personnel, China . Fri, Feb 24, 2023 LOGIN Subscribe for $1 Chinas geo-political aims are to reduce Western influence and limit the power of America in the global international order. The other countries involved will include several ex-Soviet nations, China, India, Laos, Mongolia, Nicaragua and Syria. While Washington pivots to Asia, wealthy European countries, such as Germany, should step up to provide for NATOs defense. Moreover, the crisis in Syria and now allegations that Russia has clearly postured in. NATO is a stronger military force than China. Simply, the enormous distance between China and any NATO member, combined with Chinas inability to project its military strength to Europe or North America means China is little direct threat to NATO. As a communist country more closely aligned with the Soviets during the Cold War, there was no possibility for China to join the alliance. Rose-colored glasses dont change facts about inflation The Western European countries (Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Belgium, etc.) Russia also has the largest arsenal of nuclear weapons approximately 6,400 warheads. Moscow's military has over 12,000 at its disposal compared to Beijing's 5000. This is why China will never ask Russia to ditch India or Vietnam vis--vis China. Russia has over 600 ships and one aircraft carrier. US President Joe Biden vowed in May that Washington will defend Taiwan if China attacks. Following the implementation of international sanctions during the war, China provided economic relief to Russia. The two countries share a land border and they signed the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation in 2001. India needs a Yash Chopra, India: Rahul Gandhi needs to get the messaging right. What can we glean from the current state of play on the battlefield? We must improve engagement with our allies, demonstrate Americas commitment to defending democracy and use the full economic and military potential of the combined Western world in order to uphold the values we hold so dear. Russia, China, Iran and North Korea declare war on all the NATO Nations. Cue the protests from other parts of the globe: A chorus of nations are accusing Washington of fostering unfair competition. Answer (1 of 8): The United States is a member of NATO, so we need not refer to the United States and NATO. Alliance had deployed 40,000 troops along its 2,500 kilometres long Eastern flank to deter possible Russian aggression. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said China's failure to condemn Russia for its invasion of Ukraine represents a "serious challenge" to the entire North Atlantic alliance. But the idea that, that it can be taken by force, just taken by force, is just not, is just not appropriate.. In comparison, the combined military budgets of all NATO member countries was approximately $900 billion. Some information is indicative and estimated because of lack of official or up-to-date data. Stoltenberg told the AP that following talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last week he could see Turkey is moving closer to being ready to ratify and (to) welcome Finland into the alliance. NATO countries together maintain 15 battalions with around 130 tanks in the same region and around 90 of those are the American M-1s on their temporary rotation. Cue the protests from other parts of the globe: A chorus of nations are accusing Washington of fostering unfair competition. However, with a population of just over 38 million, the nation is mostly a huge expanse of empty territory much of which is frozen for most of Europe is among the richest regions in the world. Wood said he does not know if that is necessarily true, but said Russia . China has almost 150 less warships than NATO does. China is not going to attack Europe or North America. FPsRavi Agrawalsat down with U.S. Trade RepresentativeKatherine Tai, the Biden administrations top official tasked with mapping out and implementing the White Houses trade policy. Beijing backing Moscow should trigger a rethink of China-European relations. Watch the conversation or read the condensed transcript. In recent decades China has risen to become a major global power. Terms of Use Geopolitics, A final point we should consider when discussing China and NATO is why isnt China a NATO member? Article 5 of the NATO treaty says that an attack on any NATO member is an attack on all. Developments in recent months have caused international concern that major nuclear-armed powers could be dragged into direct conflict. Security We use cookies to personalise content and ads. Air power is key in modern conflicts. But the US has a great advantage in the air and the sea. Unfortunately, Washington does not get to decide how its adversaries sequence their aggression. Competing with China militarily means competing globally, not just in Asia. Click + to receive email alerts when new stories are published on. Russias long-term economic outlook is even worse. Express. For the first time in any of Russia's recent aggressions, Putin has won the open support of China's leader. What does that mean for trade and globalization? In order to understand Chinas position on NATO, is it important to know that China sees NATO as a crucial foundation of Western global dominance, which China opposes. The overall size of a military force is often not enough to determine the outcome of a conflict. Further, if Putin is defeated in Ukraine, China will likely lose access to cheap Russian energy, and will have a mercurial, humiliated and nuclear-armed dictator on its northern border. Make no mistake, this goes far beyond the current conflict in Ukraine. Just NATO, will do. 2 They preened like WWE wrestlers pacing around the ring before a title bout. The misguided view gaining the most recent acceptance, however, is that Washington should simply choose the Indo-Pacific over Europe. Last fall, the U.S. Air Force played out a war scenario with China, in which China begins its attack by deploying a biological weapon throughout the Indo-Pacific region. It is highly unlikely that NATO as an alliance would be drawn into a conflict between China and the US. The United States also fears that China will lend lethal aid to Russia for its war in Ukraine, a worry that was underscored on Wednesday when China's leader, Xi Jinping, met in Beijing with . WARSAW, Poland -- NATO's chief said Wednesday that the military alliance has seen "some signs" that China may be planning to support Russia in its war in Ukraine . The US, declaring a unipolar moment . A successful Russian incursion into a NATO allys territory could mean the end of the Western alliance and the credibility of U.S. security commitments globally. See today's front and back pages, download the newspaper, order back issues and use the historic Daily Express newspaper archive. But the inducements encourage U.S. companies to invest only at homenot elsewhere. NATO might claim victory for having turned back the Sino-Russian forces from their conquest of Eastern Europe. European allies should invest in armor and artillery while Asian allies buy naval mines, harpoon missiles, and submarines. But NATO once again reigns supreme with over 14,000 tanks. As China wishes to reduce Americas influence in the region, the creation of a formal alliance between the US and Western-aligned countries in East Asia would be directly opposed to Chinas strategic interests. Is Weiss correct? Now, NATO is accusing Russia of using "coercion, subversion, aggression and annexation" to extend its reach. Thank you for supporting the site. In general, China would like Western influence to be rolled-back and for it to create its own spheres of influence. During controversial NATO war games with 31,000 troops on Russia's borders in 2016 the first time in 75 years that German troops had retraced the steps of the Nazi invasion of the Soviet . Then other neighbouring countries may be next.". The first question to ask when assessing a possible conflict between China and NATO is which is stronger militarily. But as the war intensifies, and the bloody images of casualties hit the screens and social media platforms, Western leaders will feel the heat. NATO countries have so far kept up their support for Ukraine, but fear Russian President Vladimir Putin could turn his attention to other former Soviet states including those that are now a part of NATO. With over one million more frontline troops, it is clear that NATO is much more powerful than China. However, the Chinese government does not have an official policy against NATO and it cannot be said that everyone in China has a hatred for the alliance.